板塊驅(qū)動型城市產(chǎn)業(yè)招商模式優(yōu)化建模及仿真

寇曉東 汪紅

摘 ? 要： “板塊經(jīng)濟”（“功能區(qū)經(jīng)濟”）是中國城市發(fā)展的重要路徑，有利于激發(fā)城市經(jīng)濟活力，但其碎片化布局帶來板塊間的不良競爭以及城市整體利益的損耗。在國家引導(dǎo)經(jīng)濟高質(zhì)量發(fā)展的新階段，依靠板塊經(jīng)濟驅(qū)動的城市發(fā)展，急需通過以項目招商及落地為核心環(huán)節(jié)的板塊間產(chǎn)業(yè)資源配置關(guān)系調(diào)整，實現(xiàn)城市經(jīng)濟利益的整體優(yōu)化。為此提出“建立產(chǎn)業(yè)項目招商協(xié)調(diào)機制有利于多板塊城市經(jīng)濟利益整體提升”的研究命題，選擇大西安城市板塊產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展及招商為對象，借助多主體建模方法和NetLogo仿真平臺，分別建立“誰招商、誰受益”和“大招商、大受益”兩種模式下的城市產(chǎn)業(yè)招商模型，并開發(fā)對應(yīng)的仿真運行程序。仿真結(jié)果表明，產(chǎn)業(yè)項目招商協(xié)調(diào)機制具有可行性，且在給定參數(shù)條件下，大西安城市板塊間產(chǎn)業(yè)項目流轉(zhuǎn)補償率的滿意區(qū)間為[10%， 25%]。基于大西安的多板塊城市產(chǎn)業(yè)招商建模及仿真，既為大西安產(chǎn)業(yè)招商模式優(yōu)化的政策改進提供了論證，也為同類問題研究奠定了開展政策仿真的基礎(chǔ)。

關(guān)鍵詞： 城市板塊; 產(chǎn)業(yè)招商; 協(xié)調(diào)機制; 政策仿真

中圖分類號： F127 ? ? ? ? ? ? ? 文獻標識碼： ?A ? ? ? ? ? ? DOI：10.13411/j.cnki.sxsx.2019.02.020

Abstract： The “development zone economy” （“functional area economy”） is an important path for development of cities in China and is helpful to boost urban economy. However， the fragmented distribution of development zones in a city brings negative competition among them and does harm to interests of the city as a whole. In the new era of high quality oriented economic development， urban development driven by development zone economy needs to upgrade to achieve an overall optimization of urban economic interests by adjusting industrial resource allocation among development zones with the focus on way of attracting and locating industrial project. The proposition that establishment of a coordination mechanism for industrial project attracting is good to promote the overall urban economic interests， and industrial development and project attracting of Greater Xian with dozens of development zones are chosen as the research objects. By employing multi-agent modeling method and NetLogo simulation platform， two models of urban industrial project attracting are built， i.e.， “who firstly introduces a project， who gets it” and “who mostly matches a project introduced， who gets it”， and the corresponding simulation programs are developed as well. The simulation results indicate that the proposed coordination mechanism for industrial project attracting is feasible， and the satisfactory compensation rate interval under given parameters for industrial project turnover among relative development zones of Greater Xian is [10%， 25%]. Modeling and simulation of ?industrial project attracting for development zones driven cities based on Greater Xian lay a foundation both for policy improvement of industrial project attracting mode optimization of Greater Xian， and for policy simulation of similar problems.

Key words： urban development zone; industrial project attracting; coordination mechanism; policy simulation