區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的物流能力支持研究

摘 要：本文選擇9個(gè)表征物流能力的指標(biāo)，采用模糊物元的方法計(jì)算出全國(guó)31個(gè)省份近11年的物流能力，同時(shí)結(jié)合GDP增長(zhǎng)率數(shù)據(jù)，形成面板數(shù)據(jù)，研究31個(gè)省份經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和物流能力支持之間的關(guān)系。研究表明：31個(gè)省份近11年的物流能力發(fā)展存在一定差異；物流能力對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的整體貢獻(xiàn)力度較大，但地區(qū)間存在差距，呈現(xiàn)東中西部遞減的趨勢(shì)。因此，要實(shí)現(xiàn)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速發(fā)展必須保持區(qū)域物流能力的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展，構(gòu)建區(qū)域物流大系統(tǒng)。

關(guān)鍵詞：模糊物元；面板數(shù)據(jù)；物流能力；區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)

中圖分類號(hào)：F252 文獻(xiàn)標(biāo)識(shí)碼：A 文章編號(hào)：1003-5192(2011)05-0059-05

Analysis of Logistics Capability’Support to Regional Economic Growth

PENG Jian

(School of Economics and Management， East China Jiaotong University， Nanchang 330013， China)

Abstract:Choosing nine indexes of the logistics capability， we use the method of fuzzy matter-element to calculate the 31 provinces’ logistics capability in recent 11 years combined with the GDP growth data to analysis the relationship between 31 provinces’ economic growth and the logistics capability. Research has been shown that: There exists certain differences among 31 provinces’ logistics capability development， the logistics capability’s contribution to economic growth is large， but certain gap exists between regions， presenting depressive trend among the east， the central and the west. Therefore， it needs the coordinated development of the regional logistics capability and the construction of regional logistics system to realize regional rapid economic development.

Key words:fuzzy matter-element; panel data; logistics capability; regional economy

1 引言

現(xiàn)代物流產(chǎn)業(yè)被譽(yù)為經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的“加速器”和產(chǎn)業(yè)社會(huì)的原動(dòng)力。2009年，面對(duì)金融危機(jī)的沖擊，我國(guó)更是將物流列入十大振興產(chǎn)業(yè)之中，將其作為推動(dòng)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的重要力量。物流能力作為區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)形成與發(fā)展的一種主導(dǎo)力量，已經(jīng)成為了區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)高速發(fā)展的“推動(dòng)器”，對(duì)于提高區(qū)域市場(chǎng)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)能力和生產(chǎn)流通領(lǐng)域的效益，加快服務(wù)業(yè)和支撐其他產(chǎn)業(yè)的調(diào)整與發(fā)展、擴(kuò)大消費(fèi)和吸收就業(yè)，促進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整、轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式和增強(qiáng)區(qū)域城市的經(jīng)濟(jì)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力都具有重要意義。因此，研究物流能力的哪些因素能夠促進(jìn)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速增長(zhǎng)，對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的力度有多大都是目前物流研究的一個(gè)熱點(diǎn)問題，其主要目的就是根據(jù)經(jīng)驗(yàn)數(shù)據(jù)發(fā)現(xiàn)規(guī)律，揭示物流能力與經(jīng)濟(jì)的內(nèi)在關(guān)系，預(yù)測(cè)物流業(yè)的發(fā)展前景和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的潛力。……