系統工程學報 第33卷 (2018年) 總目次

面向突發事件應急決策的情景建模方法....................................................張 磊 王延章 陳雪龍 王 寧(1)

基礎產品免費策略下新產品進入最優定價研究..........................................李幸濤 南國芳 李敏強 寇紀淞(13)

不確定需求下的采購合同逆向拍賣模型...................................................................吳江華 李先國(23)

價格和需求不確定下存貨融資質押率優化研究............................................周 詠 胡艷梅 楊華龍 王滋承(34)

雙指數跳躍擴散條件下上市公司違約風險分析............................................................宮曉莉 莊新田(44)

石油和匯率間風險溢出效應分析——基于MV-CAViaR模型.......................................葉五一 張 浩 繆柏其(55)

跳躍風險的外溢效應與投資價值.........................................................................劉慶富 張金清(65)

供應鏈易變質新產品定價與補貨聯合決策模型....................................................張金隆 吳 翔 徐浩軒(79)

考慮線下零售商服務成本差異的BOPS渠道整合..................................................劉詠梅 周 笛 陳曉紅(90)

灰色市場環境下供應鏈協調的補償策略研究.....................................................洪定軍 馬永開 倪得兵(103)

考慮退貨運費險情況下的供應鏈運作決策研究...........................................................楊 雷 常 娜(116)

單跑道混合起降飛機排序問題的優化算法研究...................................................馬衛民 楊文娟 徐 博(125)

考慮生產率調整的多產品EPQ與設備維修整合模型.............................................劉學娟 趙 斐 馬曉洋(136)

基于演化博弈的制造企業研發團隊知識轉移網絡演化............................................徐建中 朱曉亞 貫 君(145)

基于關聯維數和Kolmogorov熵的協同物流網絡有序度控制模型..................................徐小峰 常瑋洪 孫燕芳(157)

網絡參與者見面概率的迭代估計方法....................................................李永立 樊寧遠 林億民 吳 沖(167)

管理者過度自信與企業創新戰略選擇....................................................................于長宏 原毅軍(175)

知識溢出,地理鄰近與區域異質性的空間關系............................................................楊貴彬 李婉紅(182)

基于節能的地鐵時刻表隨機機會約束規劃模型...................................................楊 薈 周建棟 李 想(197)

關鍵詞拍賣中廣告位數的事前分析與優化研究...........................................常 瑞 趙 勇 胡二琴 饒從軍(212)

競爭環境下提前期-價格響應模式均衡策略研究........................................................李怡娜 魏 超(225)

制造商品牌產品感知質量提升策略選擇模型..............................................趙 菊 孫翠英 周永務 閔 杰(242)

多目標兩階段組合DEA模型及應用研究...................................................鄧憶瑞 李寧 楊艷麗 楊印生(258)

供應商選擇決策的扭曲現象:供應中斷分析.............................................................于 輝 王 念 (271)

基于護士排班問題的加班策略比較研究..........................................................許 丹 劉洪偉 齊二石(279)

基于區域劃分的地鐵網絡脆弱性評價方法...............................................................沈吟東 宮 劍(289)

供應鏈風險管理的物理–事理–人理方法研究.............................................劉家國 孔玉丹 周 歡 李 俊(298)

資本積累的空間溢出效應研究...................................................................吳繼貴 葉阿忠 張月玲(308)

基于非光滑方程組的智能電網實時定價..................................................................王宏杰 高 巖(320)

主動再制造設計下制造/再制造博弈模型研究............................................................夏西強 朱慶華(328)

雙邊密封競標下的動態P2P網絡借貸拍賣機制..................................................周正龍 馬本江 胡鳳英(341)

基于平衡穩定性的貨幣危機預警模型及實證研究........................................................王振齊 龍 文(355)

考慮后悔厭惡的私募股權基金投資組合優化模型........................................................胡支軍 賀 陽(365)

不同結算方式下農產品供應鏈保鮮投資決策.............................................................陳 軍 曹群輝(378)

考慮渠道競爭和消費者行為的BOPS定價與服務合作............................................范 辰 劉詠梅 陳曉紅(387)

區域創新系統耦合度測度模型構建與實證研究...........................................蘇 屹 安曉麗 孫 瑩 果 穎(398)

基于改進突變級數法的農產品冷鏈物流風險評估模型....................................張 浩 邱 斌 唐孟嬌 何明珂(412)

依據在線評論的商品排序方法...................................................................畢建武 劉 洋 樊治平(422)

買方“跳單”行為下房產中介差異化定價機制.............................................................王 晨 龔 樸(433)

多屬性逆向同步增價拍賣模型及最優投標策略...................................................冉茂盛 黃 俊 蔣衛艷(442)

基于有限理性的需求模型與承諾交付時間研究...........................................................李海南 邱晗光(453)

不確定性、最優資本結構與投資期權價值........................................................曹啟龍 周 晶 盛昭瀚(461)

分位數向量自回歸分布滯后模型及脈沖響應分析...........................................許啟發 劉曦 蔣翠俠 虞克明(472)

經濟增速下行階段我國股市波動敏感因素分析...........................................................葉 莉 李伯龍(488)

延保服務的供應鏈收益共享合同選擇....................................................艾興政 張 越 李曉靜 汪敢甫(500)

基于學習效應的企業知識流程外包策略研究.............................................................歐陽智 蘇 秦(511)

基于零售商延保服務的競爭供應鏈銷售回扣合同.........................................馬建華 艾興政 趙海霞 李曉靜(520)

替代產品價格和服務競爭的在線渠道決策與協調...............................................王 滔 顏 波 李鴻媛(536)

考慮再制造的技術許可交易組合選擇研究...............................................程晉石 李幫義 龔本剛 劉 志(551)

基于違約狀態判別的小企業債信評級研究...............................................................孟 斌 遲國泰(565)

考慮媒體效應的微博網絡熱點事件輿論演化模型................................................劉 泉 榮莉莉 顏克勝(577)

公共危機雙層網絡偽信息擴散與免疫閾值研究...........................................朱曉霞 劉萌萌 沈羽翯 陸君安(589)

基于復數編碼的多策略人工蜂群算法....................................................................單 嫻 杜學東(597)

有序分位加權集結算子及理想激勵點的模擬求解................................................李偉偉 易平濤 郭亞軍(606)

競爭環境下軸–輻式海運網絡設計與定價決策....................................................趙宇哲 周晶淼 遲國泰(615)

基于政府視角的最優碳減排政策研究....................................................................張 盼 熊中楷(627)

雙邊市場中用戶前瞻性與平臺定價策略選擇.....................................................................張 凱(637)

電商平臺監管與商家售假演化博弈..............................................................李 杰 張 睿 徐 勇(649)

均值函數對隨機波動率短期利率模型的影響分析................................................江 良 林鴻熙 宋麗平(662)

競爭零售商的供應鏈延保服務兩部定價合同選擇.........................................鄭 晨 艾興政 李曉靜 汪敢甫(674)

基于在線評論詞向量表征的產品屬性提取...............................................李良強 袁 華 葉 開 唐小我(687)

3E系統視角下能源結構合理度評價研究.................................................曹 靜 賈 娜 李 根 范德成(698)

基于雙重反饋機制的語言型動態群體評價方法...................................................董慶興 朱克毓 梁昌勇(710)

基于鏈路動態變化的產業網絡預測模型研究.....................................................王 斌 王文平 費為銀(721)

正負反饋交替論模型及應用.............................................................................林 屹 嚴洪森(732)

非參數計量經濟學中的偽回歸診斷..............................................................馬 薇 葛 通 肖 凱(745)

發電商古諾博弈下差價合約的市場力抑制效應...................................................................蒲勇健(754)

基于勢函數的企業聯盟收益分配策略....................................................................孫紅霞 張 強(763)

基于事前非對稱信息的帶保證金的保險契約模型................................................馬本江 杜彥龍 周雄偉(771)

應對碳價格波動的新能源汽車聯合生產策略.............................................................程永偉 穆 東(780)

含信用等級遷移的可違約和可贖回公司債券的結構化定價.......................................梁 進 包俊利 曾楚焜(793)

中國股票市場的“塔西陀陷阱”效應研究.......................................................寇明婷 楊海珍 楊曉光(801)

基于混頻數據抽樣的已實現波動率長記憶模型...................................................王天一 劉 浩 黃 卓(812)

生鮮農產品供應鏈RFID技術投資決策及協調...................................................楊 亞 范體軍 張 磊(823)

制造商和零售商同時開辟在線渠道下渠道競爭與定價決策...............................................趙 靜 朱 昆(834)

需求約束下集裝箱碼頭裝卸設施配置逆優化模型................................................魯 渤 王輝坡 汪壽陽(845)

兩水平修理策略的k/n(G)表決系統可靠性分析................................................吳文青 唐應輝 張元元(854)

CONTENTS LIST OF JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS ENGINEERING Vol.33(2018)

Making and Game Theory Scenario modeling method for unconventional emergency decision-making....................................................................Zhang Lei,Wang Yanzhang,Chen Xuelong,Wang Ning(1)

Optimal pricing strategy for new entrants with free base products......................................................................Li Xingtao,Nan Guofang,Li Minqiang,Kou Jisong(13)

Reverse auction models for procurement contract under uncertain demand...............................................................................................Wu Jianghua,Li Xianguo(23)

Optimization on loan-to-value ratios of inventory financing under uncertain price and demand...................................................................Zhou Yong,Hu Yanmei,Yang Hualong,Wang Zicheng(34)

Default risk for listed companies in double exponential jump diffusion process............................................................................................Gong Xiaoli,Zhuang Xintian(44)

Risk spillover effect between oil and exchange rate:Based on MV-CAViaR model........................................................................................Ye Wuyi,Zhang Hao,Miao Baiqi(55)

The spillovers of jump risk and investment value..............................................................................................Liu Qingfu,Zhang Jinqing(65)

A joint pricing and replenishment decision model for new products with deterioration..................................................................................Zhang Jinlong,Wu Xiang,Xu Haoxuan(79)

Channel integration of BOPS considering off-line sales effort differences..................................................................................Liu Yongmei,Zhou Di,Chen Xiaohong(90)

Compensation strategy for supply chain coordination in gray markets.................................................................................Hong Dingjun,Ma Yongkai,Ni Debing(103)

Study of operation decision in supply chains considering freight back insurance...................................................................................................Yang Lei,Chang Na(116)

Optimization algorithm for sequencing of single-runway mixed arrival-departure aircrafts.....................................................................................Ma Weimin,Yang Wenjuan,Xu Bo(125)

Integrated EPQ and maintenance model for a multi-product production system with varying production rate...................................................................................Liu Xuejuan,Zhao Fei,Ma Xiaoyang(136)

Evolution of knowledge transfer network of RD team in manufacturing enterprises based on evolutionary game theory...................................................................................Xu Jianzhong,Zhu Xiaoya,Guan Jun(145)

Order degree control model for collaborative logistics network based on correlation dimension and Kolmogorov entropy.............................................................................Xu Xiaofeng,Chang Weihong,Sun Yanfang(157)

Iterative method of estimating the meeting probabilities of network individuals........................................................................Li Yongli,Fan Ningyuan,Lin Yimin,Wu Chong(167)

Managerial overconfidence and enterprise innovation strategy choice.............................................................................................Yu Changhong,Yuan Yijun(175)

Spatial relationship among knowledge spillovers,geographical proximity and regional heterogeneity..............................................................................................Yang Guibin,Li Wanhong(182)

Energy-efficient stochastic chance-constrained programming model for train timetable optimization....................................................................................Yang Hui,Zhou Jiandong,Li Xiang(197)

Decision Making and Game Theory Ex ante analysis and optimization research on the number of advertising slots in keyword auctions.........................................................................Chang Rui,Zhao Yong,Hu Erqin,Rao Congjun(212)

Research on lead time-price response model equilibrium strategy under competitive environment.....................................................................................................Li Yina,Wei Chao(225)

Manufacturer’s option decision on brand perceived-quality promotion strategy...........................................................................Zhao Ju,Sun Cuiying,Zhou Yongwu,Min Jie(242)

Research on two-stage combined DEA models with MOLP framework and application........................................................................Deng Yirui,Li Ning,Yang Yanli,Yang Yinsheng(258)

Distortion phenomenons of supplier selection decisions:An analysis on supply disruption....................................................................................................Yu Hui,Wang Nian(271)

Comparative study of nurse scheduling problem with different overtime strategies........................................................................................Xu Dan,Liu Hongwei,Qi Ershi(279)

Vulnerability assessment of urban metro network based on region partitioning..............................................................................................Shen Yindong,Gong Jian(289)

Methodology of supply chain risk management based on WSR theory............................................................................Liu Jiaguo,Kong Yudan,Zhou Huan,Li Jun(298)

Research on spatial spillover effects of capital accumulation...................................................................................Wu Jigui,Ye Azhong,Zhang Yueling(308)

Research on the real-time pricing of smart grid based on nonsmooth equations...............................................................................................Wang Hongjie,Gao Yan(320)

Study on game model of manufacture/remanufacture based on designing for remanufacturing.............................................................................................Xia Xiqiang,Zhu Qinghua(328)

Dynamic auction mechanism of online peer-to-peer lending market considering bilateral sealed bidding............................................................................Zhou Zhenglong,Ma Benjiang,Hu Fengying(341)

Currency crisis warning model and its empirical research based on equilibrium stability theory...............................................................................................Wang Zhenqi,Long Wen(355)

Portfolio optimization with private equity funds considering regret aversion...................................................................................................Hu Zhijun,He Yang(365)

Decision of fresh-keeping investment in agricultural supply chains under different settlement mode.................................................................................................Chen Jun,Cao Qunhui(378)

Pricing and service cooperation in BOPS implementation:Considering channel competition and consumer behavior................................................................................Fan Chen,Liu Yongmei,Chen Xiaohong(387)

Construction of coupling degree measurement model of regional innovation system and empirical research.................................................................................Su Yi,An Xiaoli,Sun Ying,Guo Ying(398)

Risk assessment model of agricultural products cold chain logistics based on the improved catastrophe progression method........................................................................Zhang Hao,Qiu Bin,Tang Mengjiao,He Mingke(412)

Method for ranking products through online reviews......................................................................................Bi Jianwu,Liu Yang,Fan Zhiping(422)

Differential pricing for real estate brokers with jump-dealing buyers..................................................................................................Wang Chen,Gong Pu(433)

Optimal bidding strategies in multi-attribute reverse simultaneous ascending auctions with synergies...............................................................................Ran Maosheng,Huang Jun,Jiang Weiyan(442)

Bounded-rationality-based demand and promised delivery time..............................................................................................Li Hainan,Qiu Hanguang(453)

Uncertainty,optimal capital structure,and the option value of investment.................................................................................Cao Qilong,Zhou Jing,Sheng Zhaohan(461)

Quantile vector autoregressive distributed lag model and impulse response analysis..............................................................................Xu Qifa,Liu Xi,Jiang Cuixia,Yu Keming(472)

Major drivers of China’s stock market volatility during slowing economy......................................................................................................Ye Li,Li Bolong(488)

Revenue sharing contract of supply chain under extended warranties services....................................................................Ai Xingzheng,Zhang Yue,Li Xiaojing,Wang Ganfu(500)

Learning effect on strategy of knowledge process outsourcing...................................................................................................Ouyang Zhi,Su Qin(511)

Sales-rebate contract for competing supply chains with retailers’extended warranty services....................................................................Ma Jianhua,Ai Xingzheng,Zhao Haixia,Li Xiaojing(520)

Decision and coordination of online channels with competition of substitute product’s price and service.......................................................................................Wang Tao,Yan Bo,Li Hongyuan(536)

Trading portfolios selection of technology licensing with remanufacturing........................................................................Cheng Jinshi,Li Bangyi,Gong Bengang,Liu Zhi(551)

Evaluation Theory and Method Debt rating of small enterprise based on default identification.................................................................................................Meng Bin,Chi Guotai(565)

Public opinion evolution model of micro-blog network hot event with mass media impact.....................................................................................Liu Quan,Rong Lili,Yan Kesheng(577)

Study of false information diffusion and immunization thresholds on two-layered networks in public crisis.....................................................................Zhu Xiaoxia,Liu Mengmeng,Shen Yuhe,Lu Junan(589)

Multi-strategy artificial bee colony algorithm based on complex coding...............................................................................................Shan Xian,Du Xuedong(597)

Ordered quantile weighted aggregation operator and the simulative solution of ideal incentive points......................................................................................Li Weiwei,Yi Pingtao,Guo Yajun(606)

Hub-and-spoke shipping network design and pricing decision in a competitive environment................................................................................Zhao Yuzhe,Zhou Jingmiao,Chi Guotai(615)

Research on optimal regulation of carbon emissions reduction from government’s perspective............................................................................................Zhang Pan,Xiong Zhongkai(627)

Forward-looking agents and pricing strategy in two-sided market.............................................................................................................Zhang Kai(637)

Evolutionary game between E-commerce platform supervision and merchants selling fakes............................................................................................Li Jie,Zhang Rui,Xu Yong(649)

Impact analysis of mean reverting function to short term rate model with stochastic volatilities..................................................................................Jiang Liang,Lin Hongxi,Song Liping(662)

Supply chain extended warranties service two part tariffs contract option of competing retailers...................................................................Zheng Chen,Ai Xingzheng,Li Xiaojing,Wang Ganfu(674)

Extraction product features from online reviews based on word-vector-representation.........................................................................Li Liangqiang,Yuan Hua,Ye Kai,Tang Xiaowo(687)

Research on the evaluation of the sanity degree of energy structure based on the perspective of 3E system.................................................................................Cao Jing,Jia Na,Li Gen,Fan Decheng(698)

Linguistic dynamic group evaluation method based on dual feedback mechanism...........................................................................Dong Qingxing,Zhu Keyu,Liang Changyong(710)

Study of the prediction model of industrial network based on the dynamical links..................................................................................Wang Bin,Wang Wenping,Fei Weiyin(721)

Model of alternate positive negative feedbackics and its applications..................................................................................................Lin Yi,Yan Hongsen(732)

Diagnose the spurious regressions in nonparametric econometrics...........................................................................................Ma Wei,Ge Tong,Xiao Kai(745)

Market power inhibiting effects of contracts for difference under Cournot game of electricity producers...........................................................................................................Pu Yongjian(754)

Profit allocation in enterprises coalition based on potential function.............................................................................................Sun Hongxia,Zhang Qiang(763)

Study of insurance contract model with cash deposit based on ex-ante asymmetric information..............................................................................Ma Benjiang,Du Yanlong,Zhou Xiongwei(771)

Joint production strategies of new energy vehicle with carbon price disruption.............................................................................................Cheng Yongwei,Mu Dong(780)

Pricing on a defaultable and callable corporate bond with credit rating migration under the structure framework.....................................................................................Liang Jin,Bao Junli,Zeng Chukun(793)

Study of‘Tacitus-trap’effect in Chinese stock market..........................................................................Kou Mingting,Yang Haizhen,Yang Xiaoguang(801)

Model for the long memory of realized volatility based on mixed data sampling....................................................................................Wang Tianyi,Liu Hao,Huang Zhuo(812)

Investment decision-making and coordination of fresh agricultural supply chain with RFID technology.........................................................................................Yang Ya,Fan Tijun,Zhang Lei(823)

Channel competition and pricing decision with online channels opened by both a manufacturer and a retailer...................................................................................................Zhao Jing,Zhu Kun(834)

Inverse optimization model of loading and unloading facilities in container terminal under demand constraint...................................................................................Lu Bo,Wang Huipo,Wang Shouyang(845)

Reliability analysis of an k/n(G)system with bi-level repair strategy...........................................................................Wu Wenqing,Tang Yinghui,Zhang Yuanyuan(854)