陜南水資源的自適應可持續發展優化模型設計

拓守恒

摘要：針對陜南地區水資源供需關系，建立了自反饋機制的動態水資源優化配置模型。模型根據歷史水資源供需關系數據，采用神經網絡模型預測未來水資源供需數據，并根據其建立各年的水資源優化配置模型，通過調節各年水資源配置參數，使其成為持續發展優化模型。

關鍵詞：水資源；優化配置；自反饋；可持續發展；陜南

中圖分類號：TV213.4 文獻標識碼：A 文章編號：0439-8114（2013）05-1171-03

The Design of Optimization Model for Water Resources in Southern Shaanxi Based on Adaptive Sustainable Development

TUO Shou-Heng

（Culture Research Center of Hanjiang River， Shaanxi University of Technology， Hanzhong 723000， Shaanxi， China）

Abstract： Aiming at the relationship of supply and demand of water resources in southern shaanxi， a dynamic water resources optimization model with feedback mechanism was established. Based on the historical data， the neural network model was employed to predict the future data of supply and demand of water resources. And then the water resources optimization allocation model for each year in future was established. Finally， by adjusting the water resources configuration parameters of each year， an effective sustainable development optimization model was obtained.

Key words： water resources； configuration optimization； feedback mechanism； sustainable development； southern Shaanxi